Fantasy Football 3 IN/OUT week 13

FANFOOD-FF_3_IN_OUT_AD[2]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-   Week  13 –

Each week, the FANFOOD 3 IN/OUT will not include players that are locks for your starting rosters, just the ones that are considered “fringe” starters and may be outside the TOP 10 at each position.

They are the ones that you may have on the bench or ones that you can find on the waiver wire. Either way, they are the players we think will have a big game for you this week and players that have a tough row to hoe. They are the ones you want to start and players you need to bench. This week we will talk about 6 players that will help or hurt your team in week 13, and a bonus DST that you can plug and play.  As always, it’s followed by a great recipe, this time it’s Smoked Bone-In Turkey Breast.

 

Lets get to it.

 

 

 

Thanksgiving Football Feast

 

 

 

Game TimeAway TeamHome TeamTV
12:30 PM ETGreen Bay PackersDetroit LionsFOX
4:30 PM ETOakland RaidersDallas CowboysCBS
8:30 PM ETPittsburgh SteelersBaltimore RavensNBC

 

Week 13

QBRBWRTE
Matthew StaffordAdrian PetersonCalvin JohnsonRob Gronkowski
Cam NewtonJamaal CharlesA.J. GreenJimmy Graham
Tony RomoMarshawn LynchDez BryantJason Witten
Peyton ManningAndre BrownDemaryius ThomasGreg Olsen
Tom BradyMatt ForteLarry FitzgeraldJulius Thomas
Drew BreesFrank GoreBrandon MarshallVernon Davis
Nick FolesRashad JenningsJosh GordonCharles Clay
Carson PalmerLeSean McCoyAntonio BrownMartellus Bennett
Josh McCownAlfred MorrisPierre GarconJordan Cameron
Andy DaltonChris JohnsonMichael FloydCoby Fleener

 

 

NFL Week 13 Games

click here for TV & Radio listings 

 

 

 -WEEK 13 -

 

Thursday, Nov. 28

 

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions 12:30 pm

Oakland Raiders at Dallas Cowboys 4:30 pm

 

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, 8:30 

 

NFL.com Thanksgiving Page

 

Sunday, Dec. 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers, 1

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns, 1

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts, 1

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs, 1 

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings, 1

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets, 1

Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles, 1

Atlanta Falcons at Buffalo Bills (Toronto), 4:05

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05

New England Patriots at Houston Texans, 4:25

Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers, 4:25 

 

New York Giants at Washington Redskins, 8:30

 

Monday, Dec. 2

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks, 8:40 

 

 

Here is a handy NFL Schedule Grid you can refer to throughout the season…

click to zoom

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FANFOOD 3 IN/OUT Week 13

 

For most leagues, your team needs at least 110 points to have a chance of winning. You never want to concern yourself with what your opponent is doing, just aim to get to this number, hope for more and let the chips fall where they may. To reach this goal you will need (at minimum) 12 points from each of your starting skill positions, over 20 from your QB, more than a few from your kicker and at least 11 from your defense. This is the threshold for the IN/OUT predictions.

Here are the basic league settings that we are basing our predictions on…

 

Roster:
QB,2WR,2RB,TE,FLEX (w/r/t), K, DST
Settings:
offensedefense
TDs=6 pts0 pts allowed=10
passing=25 yds/pt2-6=7
receiving=10 yds/pt7-13=4
rushing=10 yds/pt14-20=1
reception=1 pt21-27=0
28-34=-1
35+=-4
Sack=2
INT=2
fumble=2
TD=6
safety=2
blocked kick=5
Return Yds=50 yds/pt

 

 

 

 

Carson Palmer @ PHI

 

from fftoolbox:
If you’re looking for a starting quarterback this week, you don’t have to look any further than Carson Palmer. Palmer has been what the Cardinals had hoped for when they traded for him in the off season and he has led them to a surprising 7-4 start to the season. Palmer has been especially hot recently, as the Cards are riding a four game winning streak, during which time he has averaged 286.5 yards and 2 touchdown passes per game. This week Palmer gets to face the worst pass defense in the NFL, the Philadelphia Eagles, who are giving up a league worst 300 yards passing per game. If Palmer is sitting stashed on your bench, give him a look and start him this week
 
from rotoworld: 
Carson Palmer completed 26-of-37 passes for 314 yards and two touchdowns in Arizona’s 40-11, Week 12 blowout win over the Colts. Palmer picked apart an Indianapolis defense that has had its doors blown off in recent weeks. They can’t stop anyone right now. Palmer has been red-hot the past four games, completing 89-of-129 passes (68.9 percent) for 1,146 yards and an 8:2 TD:INT ratio. He was sacked three times in this one but was kept clean for the most part for the second week in a row. Palmer hooked up with Larry Fitzgerald on both touchdown passes. One was a four-yard strike on a fade over Vontae Davis, and the other was a 26-yard hookup on a post-corner route against Cassius Vaughn. Palmer is firmly in the QB2 mix. He and the 7-4 Cardinals will travel to Philadelphia in Week 13.
 
from cbsports:
Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer is riding a nice hot streak, with four straight multiple-touchdown games and an average of about 21 Fantasy points per game over that span. He’s thrown just two interceptions in his last four, and has two straight games with 300 or more passing yards. His Week 13 matchup against the Eagles is a tough one — while the Eagles have given up 300 or more passing yards to quarterbacks in three of their last five, they’ve been tough to score on. In that five-game span, they’ve only allowed just four passing touchdowns (against seven interceptions). So while the passing yards may be there, Palmer’s touchdown production could go south. And touchdowns are where the points are really accrued in Fantasy. Palmer’s hot streak may come to an end Sunday against the Eagles, who are coming off a bye, with plenty of time to prepare for this game. In deeper formats, Palmer is worth a gamble, but this matchup is tough enough to start better options over him in most leagues.

 

FANFOOD Says: Start him over QB1s like Robert Griffin III, Matt Ryan, and Andrew Luck.

 

 

Rod Streater @ DAL

 

from fantasysharks:
Coming off another solid game as he continues to step up with McGloin at QB. With Moore likely out again, he could be the main receiving option again this week, which is a good thing against the Cowboys sieve-like pass defense.
 
from fftoolbox:
After an up and down rookie season in 2012, Rod Streater has been more consistent this season. In only 11 games, Streater has already surpassed his 2012 totals in receptions and yards despite Oakland starting three different quarterbacks this season. Streater isn’t a point per reception kind of guy, but when he does catch passes, he usually makes big plays — evidenced by his 15 yards per reception average. This week Streater will play on Thanksgiving against the defense that keeps on giving, the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are giving up the second most passing yards at 298 per game, so look for Streater to take advantage of that and have his third game in a row of at least five receptions and 84 yards. Streater makes for a solid WR3 or flex start.
 
from rotoworld:
Rod Streater caught five passes for 93 yards in Sunday’s Week 12 loss to the Titans.
With Denarius Moore (shoulder) inactive, Streater was the go-to guy for Matt McGloin. He led the team with nine targets and made one leaping catch on the sideline that saw him get flipped in mid-air. He landed hard on his hip, a joint that has bothered him over the last month. Streater was able to return and should be fine for the Thanksgiving game against the Cowboys.

 

FANFOOD Says: Start him over WRs to the tune of Danny Amendola, James Jones and Marques Colston.

 

 

Harry Douglas @ BUF (toronto)

 

from fantasysharks:
Continues to play well week-in, week-out and certainly should be rolled out again this week in hopes he keeps the hot streak going, which isn’t a very tall order with a solid matchup.
 
from rotoworld:
Harry Douglas caught nine passes for 79 yards in Atlanta’s Week 12 loss to the Saints. It was another blockbuster PPR effort, but a zero-calorie night for “real-life” purposes. All but three of Douglas’ catches went for fewer than 10 yards, while none went for longer than 15. Douglas is Atlanta’s answer to Julian Edelman, albeit with less open-field playmaking ability. Nevertheless, he’s averaging seven catches for 102 yards in six games since joining the starting lineup, and should remain a high-end WR3 for the foreseeable future. Douglas gets the Bills’ shaky secondary in Week 13.
 
from APsports:
The Atlanta Falcons have gone from posting the NFC’s best record last season to the having the NFL’s worst, and they’re headed toward their highest draft pick since selecting quarterback Matt Ryan in 2008. Ryan’s struggles away from home are a major reason for the team’s sub-standard record, and he’ll look to help Atlanta end a five-game losing streak Sunday when it faces the Buffalo Bills in Toronto, but keep in mind Ryan threw for 250 yards and three touchdowns as the Falcons beat the Bills 31-3 in the most recent meeting Dec. 27, 2009.

 

FANFOOD Says: Start him over WRs such as Anquan Boldin, T.Y. Hilton and Emmanuel Sanders.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Maurice Jones-Drew @ CLE

 

from fftoolbox:
With three touchdowns in the last three games, Maurice Jones-Drew has somewhat salvaged an awful fantasy season. The former Pro Bowl running back turned in his best performance of the season in week 12, rushing for 84 yards and a touchdown, while adding six receptions for 60 yards through the air. I fully expect Jones-Drew to come crashing back down to Earth this week, as the Jaguars take on the Cleveland Browns and their fourth ranked defense. Fantasy owners should not think MJD will be turning in another good performance this week, and should leave him on their benches against the Browns.
 
from rotoworld:
Maurice Jones-Drew rushed 14 times for 84 yards and a touchdown in Jacksonville’s Week 12 win over the Texans, adding six catches for 60 yards. Both the rushing yards and yards from scrimmage were new season highs for MJD, while the touchdown was his third in three games. Buoyed by three rushes of 10 yards or longer, including a season-best 44-yard scamper in the second quarter, MJD upped his yards per carry from 2.89 to 3.15. Jones-Drew still displayed alarmingly little side-to-side burst, but was hard to bring down once he got a head of steam. This afternoon will almost certainly go down as his best game of the season. MJD will be a low-end RB2 against the Browns’ stout defense in Week 13

 

FANFOOD Says: Sit him in favor of RBs like Giovani Bernard, Danny Woodhead and Shane Vereen.

 

 

 

Stevan Ridley @ HOU

 

from fftoolbox:
Coming off another fumble, Steven Ridley can not be trusted in fantasy leagues. Ridley was benched after fumbling the ball away for the second consecutive game, a trend that will lead to Ridley sitting on the Patriots bench as the playoffs roll around. Ridley did not come back into the game following his week 12 fumble, and with Shane Vereen back for the Patriots, it is hard to imagine Ridley being trusted in key situations. Even if Ridley does get the start this week, it remains to be seen in what situations he will be used. Until he can start hanging onto the ball, Ridley will be an extremely risky play in fantasy leagues.
 
from rotoworld:
Patriots OC Josh McDaniels spoke about Stevan Ridley’s fumbling issues on Tuesday, but shed little light on his Week 13 status. “When things happen like this, in back-to-back games — or in this case a few games in a row — I think you certainly have to address what you can address in terms of trying to fix the problem,” McDaniels said obliquely. “I have great confidence in Stevan as a runner. … At the same time, obviously, ball security is the most important factor for our offense and for our team when we have the ball.” McDaniels is talking in circles, but what he didn’t say — we’re moving forward with Ridley as our No. 1 back — speaks volumes. ESPN Boston expects a three-man rotation at the Patriots’ “big back” position against the Texans, and we agree. It’s quite possible Brandon Bolden will lead the way, with Ridley and fellow fumbler LeGarrette Blount being mixed in lightly. It’s impossible to see the Pats trusting Ridley in the red zone, leaving him as a low-end FLEX option.
 
from Andrew Martin  | Y! Sports contributer |:
The New England Patriots and their fans are still on a giddy high following their shocking come-from-behind overtime win against the Denver Broncos in Week 12. The 24-year-old Ridley is immensely talented. Since being a third-round draft choice out of LSU in 2011, he has grown into an impact player for the Patriots. Following a 2012 season where he rushed for 1,263 yards and 12 touchdowns, he has seen uneven playing time this year because of four fumbles in his 10 games. He has still managed to rush for 576 yards and seven scores but has had a hard time gaining any momentum. New England head coach Bill Belichick emphasizes avoiding mental mistakes. Following the Denver game, he explained to the Providence Journal’s Paul Kenyon why he is unwilling to look past fumbles. “Ball security is the paramount issue for your football team every week, our football team every week. We fumbled the ball, whatever it was, six times last night. We can’t go on like that. We just can’t. The coach continued, “We’re just not going to be able to overcome turning the ball over, however you turn it over… You might get it for awhile but in the end, it’s just too big an advantage to give to the other team.” During his regular-season career, Ridley has fumbled the ball nine times in 530 touches (once every 58.9 touches). That is well behind other top NFL backs like Adrian Peterson (once every 72.7 touches), Ray Rice (once every 191.1 touches) and Marshawn Lynch (once every 84.1 touches).

 

FANFOOD Says: Sit him in favor of RBs such as Donald Brown, Fred Jackson and Andre Ellington.

 

 

 

Greg Jennings vs CHI

 

from fftoolbox:
The Vikings’ major offseason signing has failed to live up to his contract. Jennings has been unable to top 100 receiving yards in any game this season, and has just two touchdowns on the year. Minnesota has been plagued by terrible quarterback play all season long, and there is little hope that they will get it turned around this season. Fantasy owners should give up on Jennings as a starter, and should only be holding on to him as a reserve in deeper leagues. Jennings is not an option against the Bears this week.
 
from cbssports:
Vikings wide receiver Greg Jennings returned to Lambeau Field Sunday for the first time since leaving the Packers in the offseason. Though, he didn’t have a memorable return to Green Bay. Jennings had no catches or targets in the first half, and he finished with just two catches for 29 yards in a 26-all tie. Jennings’ first catch didn’t come until the 9:49 mark of the third quarter. He was targeted three times. The Vikings are back in action Week 13 vs. Chicago.
 
from rotoworld:
Greg Jennings (Achilles) did not practice Wednesday. Jennings was able to return from his Achilles’ injury in Week 12, but clearly wasn’t 100 percent. Even in a plus matchup, he won’t be more than a WR4 for Sunday’s game against the Bears.

 

FANFOOD Says: Sit him in favor of WRs to the tune of Cecil Shorts, Julian Edelman and Miles Austin.

 

 

 

 

 

FANFOOD Streaming Defense of the Week

 

 

vs JAX

 

from FantasyTrade411:
This is not the time of year to get nostalgic and use a fantasy defense just because they were the ones who got you here. Case in point, the Chiefs have by far been the best fantasy defense this year, but they’ve also put up a whopping total of negative-eight points over the past two weeks and have to play the Broncos and Redskins over the next two weeks (neither of which are a great matchup). So who do you grab for Week 13 if not the Chiefs? I’m planting my flag in the Cleveland Browns this week. They play a Jaguars team who is allowing over 12 fantasy points per game to opposing D/ST. This is more of a knock on the Jaguars than it is an endorsement of the Browns, but Cleveland’s D/ST is averaging just around eight fantasy points per game this season and should be able to at least equal that total in Week 13 at home against the lowly Jaguars.
 
from Gridiron Experts:
I would definitely give the Browns D/ST a shot for Week 13 if a streaming option is needed. They’re up against a Jacksonville Jaguars’ offense that is second in the league in interceptions (16), tied for third in sacks allowed (37) and are by far dead last in points scored (142).
 
from rotoprofessor:
The “hot” Jaguars won their second game of the season (two of the past three), though scored just 13 points in the process. They’ve managed just 12.9 points per game, by far the worst in the league.Cleveland’s defense has forced just 13 turnovers, so it’s hard to say they are a given to stymy the Jaguars. They do still have Maurice Jones-Drew (while he appears to be a shell of his former self, he is coming off a game with 84 yards and 1 TD on 14 carries) and Cecil Shorts (8 catches for 71 yards). This is a good gamble to take, but it shouldn’t be considered the best stream of the week.
 
from fantasySP:
Another team of note this week is the Cleveland defense against Jacksonville. The Jags may be coming off a win but they have only managed to put up 12.9 points per game this year and 27 points in their last two games which coincides with their yearly mark. Chad Henne has 1 touchdown pass and 4 picks in his last three games.

 

FANFOOD Says: Start over other DSTs like the Cardinals, Rams and Packers.

 

 

 

Other Tools:

Fantasy Pros – who should I start?

The Fake Football Matchup Machine week 13

Fantasy Sports Portal – Sit/Start Tool

FF Toolbox – Weekly Cheatsheets

The Grey Report

Numberfire Player Comparison Tool

Fantasy Rundown Weekly Rankings

CBS Sports Weekly Projections

Fantasyomatic week 13 Projections

Week 13 Fact Sheet

 

MORE >

 

 

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Smoked Bone-in Turkey Breast

 

There’s not a lot that can go wrong here but I do highly recommend that you get the bone-in and not the boneless. To me the flavor difference is day and night. I have smoked these in tandem and everyone agrees that the tenderness, flavor and texture is so much better with the bone-in version. These will come in sizes from around 5 lbs all the way up to 10 pounds or maybe a little more. In my opinion, the 5-7 lb birds are going to be your best bet for tenderness and cooking time.

 

 

INGREDIENTS

Bone-in Turkey Breast, around 5 pounds
Smoked Turkey Brine
Galveston Dry Rub
Cherry Wood
Pecan Wood

 

Smoked Turkey Brine:

2 Gal Water
2 Cups Kosher Salt
3 Cups Sugar
1/4 Cup Zatarains Liquid Crab Boil (optional)
4 TBS Black Pepper
1 TBS Dried Rosemary
1 TBS Thyme
1/4 Cup Molasses
1/4 Cup White Wine (not Cooking Wine)
1/4 Cup Worcestershire
PREPARATION
Place the bird in a large foodsafe container made of glass or plastic and completely cover the bird with the brine solution.
You may need to make a couple of batches to cover the bird completely.
Keep the brine iced down and make sure to keep a thermometer in the brine to make sure it stays between 33 and 39 degrees F for safe food handling. If you’re just doing just one and it’s not too large then you can probably even place it in a large zip-top bag with the brine.

Set the bag down in a large stock pot, insert the turkey into the bag and then pour enough brine over the turkey to completely cover it. The pot will keep the bag steady and leak proof overnight in the fridge.
Leave the turkey breast in the brine for 8-12 hours for best results.

To Prepare the Turkey Breast for Smoking, Remove the turkey from the brine container and rinse it well under cool water.
Pat the turkey dry with a paper towel and set it aside. 

The easiest way to apply the rub is to place the turkey down in a large bag and do it “shake and smoke” style but you can also do the job by sprinkling it on. to do the shake and smoke method, place the turkey breast down in a large zip top back and pour about 1/4 cup of canola oil over the turkey, then place 4 TBS of rub right on top of the turkey, seal the bag and proceed to lightly shake and roll the bag end over end to completely coat the surface of the turkey with the tasty goodness. The cool thing about this method is that the rub gets inside the turkey, under the skin a little and all over the outside with very little effort.
Open the bag to get a good look at the turkey and if you think it needs more rub then by all means throw in a few more spoonfuls and shake it some more.
Once you are satisfied that the rub is all over then simply remove the turkey from the bag and set it on a pan for carrying out to the smoker.

To Preparing the Smoker, take the low and slow very seriously and tend to keep the heat on the low side even for poultry in most cases.
225 -240 degrees is what is recommended and adhere to it to make sure the sugar in the rub does not burn.
Make sure to have enough smoking wood to keep the smoke going for about 4 hours or so.
Once the smoker is clicking along at around 225-240 degrees F, place the turkey directly on the grate breast side up.
At around the 3 hour mark, insert a digital probe meat thermometer into the breast of the turkey to begin monitoring the internal temperature.

Smoke with 3 hours of cherry and 1 hour of pecan for some amazing flavor.

Once the breast reaches about 161-163 degrees, remove it from the smoker and immediately wrap it in a thick layer of heavy duty foil.

Place the turkey in a small ice chest or just wrap it in a couple of thick towels and lay it on the counter for about 30-45 minutes.
An hour would not be a bad thing. Do not skip this step if you can help it, lots of wonderful things happen during this time. The meat gets more tender and the juices that were forced to the surface during the cooking process, redistribute throughout the meat.

Slice and Serve.

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