FANFOOD FF’13 – Get & Forget 30 Late Picks

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The next preseason edition of the FANFOOD Get & Forget will focus on 30 Players that you can get late in your draft.

Call them what you want, sleepers, undervalued, players with upside, whatever. Just make sure that you are familiar with these 30 late round choices. Drafting the right ones will be the difference between winning or losing your Fantasy Football League Championship.

We all know, injuries happen and players under perform causing you to make changes. What ever the reason, every team will have a high draft pick that will need to be replaced. It’s the teams that make the right choices during the season that are the ones making the playoffs. Drafting the right bench players who can step right in and put up big numbers in case of emergency will separate you from the rest of the pack. So who are these players and when should you target them in your draft?

There is a wealth of information out there and we have an index of well over 400 Fantasy Football links on the FANFOOD Fantasy Football Tools page. Combing through them all we have come up with 30 players that you should get and some you should forget, followed by a recipe for Chile and Beer Barbecue Sauce.

So your draft is moving along swimmingly, you are happy with your RBs and WRs so far, you know who you are going to use in the FLEX position and you have drafted your starting QB and TE. Now you are looking at some DSTs and some quality bench players as you head into the double digit rounds of your draft. Who do you get and who do you forget?

 

Let’s get to it!

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Late Round Talent

 

 

GET

Michael Floyd

When your draft hits double digits, you will have some choices as your WR4 for your bench. Floyd will be there and he may not even be on your bench for long. He is talented and finally GETs a QB that can get him the ball. He is exactly what you need for your bench, with youth, talent and major upside.

 

FORGET

Vincent Brown

In the wake of the knee injury to the other “Floyd”, the Chargers have Vincent Brown running with the 1st team. Malcom suffered a knee sprain and is expected to be sidelined for a bunch of weeks. The Chargers already lost starting WR Danario Alexander to a torn ACL this summer. So this is good and means more targets and more playing time for Brown, right? One could say that, but one could also say brown will be facing the top corners and possibly double coverage on every snap. FORGET what Brown can do for you. Don’t draft him because of that and his below average QB and the OL in SD.

 

 

GET

Jordan Cameron

At or after round 11 the teams in your league that didn’t draft Graham, Witten, Gonzo or Gronk, will be looking to get a quality backup TE (or maybe their 1st), so there will be a mini run on TEs. Names like Bennett, Pettigrew, Gates, and Finley will be recently selected and you may think there are not many options left at the position, GET Jordan. Cameron is going to put up nice fantasy numbers with the addition of new offensive minded coaches Rod Chudzinski and Norv Turner. Chudzinski is well known for his ability to help young tight ends develop and Norv will be calling the plays. (see Antonio Gates). Jordan has the opportunity to succeed allowing you to feel comfortable with your depth at the TE position. So comfortable in fact, that you may be able to make trades to improve your team.

 

FORGET

Dwayne Allen

After the mini run on TEs is over there and if Allen didn’t get swept up, he will be starring you in the face. He will, because he had a nice rookie season for the Colts with 45 catches for 521 yards and 3 scores despite sharing time will Luck’s college teammate Fleener. FORGET that he will ever be a true #1 in Indy. As it stands now, Dwayne is not worth a draft pick for your team but keep an eye on him.

 

 

GET

Golden Tate

The ‘hawks signed Harvin and many thought that would not be Golden for Tate, but Percy will need surgery on his hip with the recovery time reportedly at three-to-four months. That probably makes him a candidate to begin the year on injured reserve with the “designated to return” tag. This opens the door for Tate. Last year he had a 45-catch, 688-yard, seven-touchdown season which is why you need to GET him. That and his upside is strong, making him the more appealing receiver in Seattle over Sidney Rice, who still has some issues with his knee (read on).

 

FORGET

Kenny Britt

Another player that you will find in the early double digits of your draft, Kenny has never recorded more than 45 receptions in his four-year career. Many people are saying that because he is in a contract year that will change, FORGET about it. The risk is not worth the reward here and you can use that pick on your starting TE, or a quality backup RB. Let someone else deal with Britt’s issues.

 

 

GET

Julian Edelman

The Pats lost pretty much all their talent at the receiver position making, Edelman the Patriots #2 WR. He was very good last season before getting injured. Julian is very similar to Wes Welker, but not as talented, which is why he is going late in drafts. His big frame will get him some nice Fantasy numbers over the middle and Brady is very comfortable with him. GET him and stash him and see how the Pats use him early in the season. If you are in a PPR league he will get you at least 60 yards a game consistently with a decent chance to score and average around 10 points every week for your team.

 

FORGET

Anquan Boldin

There is no doubting my hate for all things Anquan. It’s not just because of the Ravens, it’s because he has averaged 3.5 receiving TDs and less that 1,000 receiving yards over the past two seasons. (FORGET that, it IS because I hate the Ravens). More reason to hate is that he will be asked to be the #1 in San Fran after the Crabtree injury, and he will not be able to separate from the top corners of his opponents. He will be there for you in early double digit rounds, but pass, wait and….

 

 

GET

Brian Hartline

He is going off the board as around the 50th wideout. what?  He finished 2012 as the 27th ranked at his position and is a nice PPR player. Hartline’s production would have to drop about 30 percent for him to not turn value at his current draft position (ADP=130). Don’t wait that long and GET Brian. Hartline will be a solid WR4 at worst in 2013 with FLEX appeal. Not bad for you in round 11.

 

FORGET

Denarius Moore

He is the #1 in Oakland, but reports out of camp are saying that Flynn can not and will not be asked to throw down the field (25 yards or more) Ouch. He has the talent to succeed, but his strength has been taken away with the poor play of the QB. FORGET the fact that he had 7 TDs and well over 700 yards leading the Raiders in receptions in 2012. This is now and you should pass.

 

 

GET

New York Giants DST

Lets switch things up a bit and talk about DSTs. Giants addressed the lack of a pass rush they experienced last year by selecting Defensive Tackle Johnathan Hankins in the second round, and Texas A&M Aggies Defensive End Damontre Moore in the third. They will provide speed and youth coming off the edge. These upgrades make the Giants a bounce-back candidate filled with fantasy potential. Their SOS is a nice bonus. GET them as your DST in the later rounds.

 

FORGET

Baltimore Ravens

Ok, again I am biased, but I do not like the Ravens DST this year. (I will never draft them). But here is why you should FORGET them. They had to replace seven starters from the team that was on the field last year. Six of the Ravens’ top eight tacklers in last season’s playoffs are gone. Many people will draft them because they won some kind of trophy, but don’t be fooled.

 

 

GET

Carson Palmer

Carson Palmer enters the 2013 season coming off the second best fantasy season of his career. Repeat that to yourself. He put up these numbers playing for a horrible Oakland Raiders team with no viable targets and no offensive line to speak of. Then he was traded, albeit to the Cardinals, who has issues of their own. New head coach Bruce Arians looks to provide a boost to his output much the same as he did for Andrew Luck after emphasizing the vertical passing game in Indianapolis last year. Luck threw the ball an average of 39 times per game last season and finished with 4374 passing yards. Palmer passed for over 4000 yards in only 15 games, while throwing 38 times per game. If he can stay upright he should do no worse in ‘13 than he did in 2012. Not bad numbers for a backup QB and you can GET him late.

 

FORGET

Philip Rivers

Rivers is on the downside of his abilities and he doesn’t have much help in the receiving game (see earlier). He also has regressed for the past three years, and in his prime, he was just ok. Long gone are the times that he can be considered a QB1. New offensive scheme may work for him, but he doesn’t have the downfield accuracy, so they are going to dink and dunk all year. FORGET him because of that and the fact he has NO weapons. Pass

 

GET

Justin Blackmon

Just like Palmer, he has been written about on FANFOOD.com before as the target on the Jags. Because he is suspended for the first 4 games, he is going to drop, and drop. He started last year slowly (and of course will again this year), but over the last seven weeks of the season Blackmon drew 73 targets and finished with 615 yards and four touchdowns. He can still give you 12 games this year of that kind of production, so wait and GET him after round 12.

 

FORGET

Greg Little

In that same round, you will have little (sorry again) choices left for you. So you might think about drafting Greg. He has averaged 57 grabs in his first two seasons. That might be good for roster spot, no? Norv brings his vertical style to Cleveland and that could be good right? No. Just don’t FORGET that Greg’s hands are little to write home about. (sorry one more time).

 

 

GET

Alshon Jeffery

Jeffery is being written off by many because of his lack of production as a rookie, that’s because he never played more than five games in a row last year. It’s hard to gain chemistry with your quarterback when you sustain three different injuries at three different points in the season. Much has been written about Marc Trestman’s offense (us included). The Bears are going to pass a ton this season and will spread the ball around much more than last year. Brandon Marshall will no longer be the only fantasy relevant wide receiver on the team. GET Alshon.

 

FORGET

Jeremy Kerley

Kerley may be the #1 WR for the Jets, but FORGET about him for your team if Mark Sanchez is the QB. If Geno Smith gets the nod, he might be draftable, but not until your very last pick and hope for the best.

 

 

GET

St. Louis Rams

Back to the DSTs for a sec. The Rams tied the Denver Broncos last season for the most sacks with 52—Chris Long and Robert Quinn led the way with 22 sacks combined. On the back end of the defense, rookie first-round cornerback Janoris Jenkins paid dividends in year one and was the perfect compliment to Cortland Finnegan. Jenkins had four interceptions, and returned three of those back the other way for scores. Rookie T.J. McDonald will help the secondary and the Rams improved the weak side this past off-season when they decided to GET OLB Alec Ogletree in the draft. He adds another pass-rushing dimension, The Rams finished ninth in fantasy scoring in 2012, and they very well could improve upon that here in 2013 if things go right.

 

FORGET

Green Bay Packers

The Packers have been hit hard by injuries already during training camp, and they were without five starters and key cornerback Casey Hayward for their 1st preseason game. The absences were glaring. The Arizona receivers were wide open. But of course this is preseason. This offseason they lost Desmond Bishop to a division rival and will take creativity away from Dom Capers’ blitz packages. Bishop was also one of the more physical and edgy players on a defense that lacked those attributes. It’s tough to lose a playmaker under the age of 30 and throw in the release of DJ Smith and the inexperience of Terrell Manning and Jamari Lattimore account the reasons you can FORGET this DST.

 

 

GET

Aaron Dobson

Dobson has the size and speed to stretch the field for the Pats and if he wins the starting gig opposite Amendola, he needs to be drafted and on your bench. (See 32 teams/targets for more). We all know the troubles that Amendola has staying on the field and this could mean Double A Dobson GETs even more targets in his rookie year.

 

FORGET

Sidney Rice

Some of your competition will see what he did last year (50 receptions for 748 yards and seven touchdowns) and think that he will be a good late round pick, just don’t FORGET that he has an injury history and just recently had work done on his knee. I wouldn’t expect WR3 numbers again from the other Rice in the Northwest.

 

 

GET

Josh Freeman

So you are nearing the end of your draft and you let’s say your starting QB is Andrew Luck. You may be having some questions about that choice, so you need to get a quality backup, one that could start for your team in case your Luck runs out (apologies again). There’s a lot to like about Josh Freeman’s current fantasy situation. He has two outstanding targets in Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams that averaged 67.5 receptions for 1190 yards and 8.5 touchdowns between them. Freeman’s offensive line gave up the 3rd least sacks in the NFL last year and Freeman has improved in passing attempts and yards in each of the last three seasons. All that said, the reason you want to GET Freeman is because don’t forget that just a couple of years ago Freeman finished as a top 8 quarterback and may crack the top 10 this year.

 

FORGET

Sam Bradford

This is more of a hunch than anything, but Bradford is without his main target in Amendola and has a ton of young receivers that may take a year to develop into stars. He is not hateful as a last round flier just FORGET drafting him if other QBs like Freeman, Palmer and Tannehill are available late.

 

 

GET

Ryan Broyles

He is another player that many people are writing about (see 32 Teams/32 Targets) and is having a nice camp. The Lions are resting him often and all indications are that he is healthy and running well. GET him before the 13th round is over.

 

FORGET

Ruben Randle

The Giants are looking for him to be the #3 WR taking over for Dominic Hixon and taking over return duties for Wilson. If you have played this game before, you know how fragile Nicks is meaning Randle would get more targets if/when Hakeem goes down with injury (or Cruz). The more I type the more I have convinced myself that you should GET him with your last pick. Bonus

 

 

GET

Ryan Tannehill

New OC Mike Sherman is going to air it out which is great for fantasy leaguers. What’s great for you is that he now has speedster Mike Wallace in town and a good and talented TE in Dustin Keller. He’s currently being drafted late in fantasy leagues and you can GET him by the 14th round. At that value, Tannehill presents arguably the most upside of any backup quarterback this season.

 

FORGET

Alex Smith

Smith has a lot to prove in 2013. After losing his starting job to Kaepernick he has a new team and is reunited with Andy Reid who eventually will have to replace him with Chase Daniel. I feel for Alex and how he lost his gig last year, but he needs to forget about last year and you need to FORGET about drafting him.

 

 

GET

DuJuan Harris

There are not a lot of RBs to choose from when it’s late in your draft. You will need to understand the Handcuff Rule and look to use one of your late picks on the ones for the RBs you have already drafted. Most people will tell you to stay away from players on the teams that do not have a clear-cut starting RB or the ones that employ the dreaded Running Back By Committee (RBBC) approach. They may be right, but usually one of the committee members eventually stands out and can make for a nice FLEX option. GET DuJuan Harris late for that role. Sure Green Bay brought in two big time rookie backs to run the ball, but our money is on Harris to take the starting role and run with it (sorry, last pun). Let the other teams waste a draft pick much earlier on Lacy and Franklin.

 

FORGET

Ryan Williams

The Cards brought in Rashard Mendenhall and a couple of rookies to man the run game in Arizona. This means they have no trust in Ryan and either should you. Williams went down with a knee injury just after the start of training camp, the team assumed he would need only a few days to recover. Since then, nearly two weeks have passed, and the Cardinals appear to be getting frustrated with the running back’s lack of progress. He will be the FORGOT(ten) man in the desert.

 

But don’t just take our word on it, see what other’s have to say:

 

FANFOOD Fantasy Football Tools

Player Projections

Player Rankings

Player ADP

 

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Chile and Beer Barbecue Sauce

 

INGREDIENTS

1 cup beer
1 cup tomato juice
1/3 cup onion, finely chopped
5-6 cloves garlic, minced
2 green chile peppers, seeded and chopped
3 tablespoons olive oil
2 tablespoons cider vinegar
2 tablespoons fresh cilantro, chopped
1 teaspoon salt
1/2 teaspoon black pepper

 

PREPARATION

In a medium skillet, add olive oil and garlic. Cook until slightly brown. Add in the onions and chili peppers and cook for an additional 4 minutes. Place remaining ingredients into skillet, bring to a boil, reduce heat and simmer for 15-20 minutes. Remove from heat. Allow mixture to cool completely before you puree in blender.

 

 

 

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